How the Odds Work in MMA Betting

The history of mma is replete with legendary betting moments, like Holly Holm’s stunning head-kick knockout against Ronda Rousey in UFC 193. These victories are enduring reminders that the sport’s inherent unpredictability makes it an exhilarating bet to place. But they also underscore how the nuances of a matchup can turn even a slight underdog into a big winner. These are the types of bets that can make a difference in the outcome of a fight, and that’s why it’s important to understand how the odds work.

The most basic MMA betting option is the moneyline bet, where you choose which fighter you think will win the bout. The odds of a favorite are displayed with a minus sign (-), while underdogs feature a plus sign (+). The odds are based on the payout associated with placing a bet on each fighter. This system is easy to understand and makes MMA betting a straightforward experience.

Over/Under or total bets are another popular MMA betting option. These wagers are based on a specific element of the fight, such as how many rounds the fight will last or the number of punches/kicks or knockdowns a fighter will score. The sportsbook will select a numerical value for each bet and you simply choose whether the actual fight will go over or under that number.

Prop bets are another fun way to get involved in MMA betting. These bets are available on a wide range of things, from predicting the method of victory to determining the round in which the fight will end. Prop bets can add an intellectual component to the fight betting experience, but they also come with a higher risk, as they require you to correctly predict multiple outcomes.

A successful MMA bettor is able to weigh multiple factors in making their bets, including fighter injuries and performance history. For instance, a fighter with an extensive injury history may not perform as well in the later rounds of a fight. This is because they’re often tired by the time those final three or four rounds roll around. Conversely, a fighter with a reputation for cardio endurance will often look fresher in the late stages of a fight than their opponent.

Moreover, it is essential to consider a fighter’s mental state before betting on them. If a fighter is visibly struggling in the early rounds of a fight, their emotions will translate onto the canvas and could negatively impact their performance. The same goes for any signs of fatigue, such as dragging feet or closed eyes.

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